Topic: 伊朗近一个月来，先是说批准了挖多少万个坟墓等待侵略者，后试射导弹反暴军力不足，总统再发狠话说要先斩断敌人扣扳机的手。让我想起一句俗语：叫得最凶的狗是不可怕的。真令人笑话！ @华人论坛:枫下论坛 The Rolia Forum of

枫下茶话 / 政治经济 / 伊朗近一个月来，先是说批准了挖多少万个坟墓等待侵略者，后试射导弹反暴军力不足，总统再发狠话说要先斩断敌人扣扳机的手。让我想起一句俗语：叫得最凶的狗是不可怕的。真令人笑话！伊拉克当时也是摆出有强大武器的样子，还说要脱鞋来打侵略者的脸，真够凶的。 -peipeipei(小岛护士); 2008-7-15 {72} (#4557234@0)

就是为了让油价继续升上去，伊朗好发财。全世界现在叫得最凶的就是伊朗，但是每天满负荷运转采油也只有伊朗，拼命扩大产能的也是伊朗。美国对伊朗根本不用打，如果油价降到100以下，伊朗会主动妥协的。和朝鲜一样。 -niu1986(只吃草的牛); 2008-7-15 (#4557244@0)

$100一桶是不便宜. 不过如果少于$100,伊朗就没钱赚了，经济也就垮了。他的石油比较费钱。不过现在大家都不想让石油降下去（包括美国），只要是缓慢上升一直到$250，差不多。 -niu1986(只吃草的牛); 2008-7-15 (#4557455@0)

我觉得，让油价上涨到$250是为了挤垮中国、印度、巴西等新兴的大国，代价就是使伊朗渔利，所以要打伊朗才能一箭双雕！ -peipeipei(小岛护士); 2008-7-15 (#4557463@0)

我不觉得这样。挤垮是不可能的。发展是大方向。美国这次借势搞替代能源，等过几年大家明白过来，美国可能已经基本摆脱能源依赖了。现在伊朗，美国只是唱戏，在忽悠全世界人民。另外，石油涨对巴西有利，他们可是靠的粮食。 -niu1986(只吃草的牛); 2008-7-15 (#4557555@0)

算通货膨胀加上美元贬值，石油需要涨到$400一桶，才能和上次石油危机相比较。$250就垮掉，你也太小看美国了。 -niu1986(只吃草的牛); 2008-7-15 (#4557574@0)

i think they are kind of lucky because of a promise was made to their ancestor Ishmael long time ago. but they will not be ultimately lucky, according to the same promise. -win(秋天的菠菜); 2008-7-15 (#4557355@0)

Can you give some hint, like where I can read the originals?:-) -peipeipei(小岛护士); 2008-7-15 (#4557411@0)

it is somewhere in Bible, the Book of Genesis. Issac was the favorited one, the one kept story going, however Ishmael also got a bless too. He was ancestor of those oil-rich people."And as for Ishmael, I have heard thee: Behold, I have blessed him, and will make him fruitful, and will multiply him exceedingly; twelve princes shall he beget, and I will make him a great nation....." -win(秋天的菠菜); 2008-7-17 {204} (#4561783@0)

要是美国在奥运前一个礼拜宣布对伊朗开战，这招是不是太毒了？这一箭起码能射下十几雕 -softkiller(很坏很和谐); 2008-7-15 (#4557537@0)

如果伊朗继续玩火，还没等美国打伊朗，以色列就会把伊朗收拾了。美国打伊朗是为了利益，以色列打伊朗是为了生存，以色列绝不允许任何人在卧榻旁拥有核武器。。。 -noproblem(。o O); 2008-7-15 (#4557557@0)

看伊朗现任总统上台以来的言论，真是自取灭亡！ -peipeipei(小岛护士); 2008-7-15 (#4557575@0)
这是有可能的。所以美国现在极力让以色列和巴勒斯坦和谈，让她没有心思去打伊朗。以色列还是很想趁现在大好时机和巴勒斯坦谈好的。我一直认为，美国人绝对不想对伊朗使用武力。 -niu1986(只吃草的牛); 2008-7-15 (#4557579@0)
Right, Israel is a tiny country surrounded hostile Arab nations.Once the Iranian have Nukes, Israel can only wait to be eliminated, and the Jews will wander around the world as refugees again. If they don't want this fate, they have no choice but attacking Iran very soon -omega4(omega); 2008-7-15 {208} (#4557664@0)

It may not be very soon, Israel is waiting for a perfect timing to attack Iranian nuke facilities, if attacked too early, Iran will restore it soon, if too late, Israel would have no chance to survive, therefore, good timing is crucial。。。 -noproblem(。o O); 2008-7-15 (#4557680@0)
是的，如果你把伊朗总统“把以色列从地球上抹掉”的恶语同他发展核技术联系在一起，更令人不寒而栗！以色列为了生存，绝对不惜首先使用核武来摧毁伊朗的核计划。世上有什么东西比生存还重要的吗？没有。即使首先使用核武导致自己也跟着灭亡，也比坐等敌人来消灭自己来得强。 -peipeipei(小岛护士); 2008-7-15 (#4557688@0)

二战后还没有哪个国家敢用核武器. .国际政治, 就是大流氓打小流氓, 胜了就是王. 哪有那么多同情, 正义的. 美国对伊拉克的行为, 媒体普遍的说法是入侵(invade), 连战争都不是. 那又怎么样? -coolmao(酷猫*Babarosa); 2008-7-15 (#4557725@0)

“即使首先使用核武导致自己也跟着灭亡，也比坐等敌人来消灭自己来得强” 庆幸到目前为止，核俱乐部各国的按钮，没有掌握在像你这种思维方式的人手里，否则太恐怖了，拜托你一辈子做小岛护士，千万别当总统。。。 -noproblem(。o O); 2008-7-15 (#4557708@0)

The Israelis will probably attack before Bush's term is over as they don't know what the next President's position on this is.when a nation's survival is at stake, everything else is secondary, the only way for Israel to survive is taking out its enemy before itself is attacked. Being a small country it is, it has little 'room' to give. -omega4(omega); 2008-7-15 {215} (#4557845@0)

I totally agree with you! Israel does feel the danger and will apply any resort to blow up Iran's nuclear facilities. Bad thing is: A conventional bomb may not accommodate. -peipeipei(小岛护士); 2008-7-15 (#4557919@0)

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